Crude Oil at Last Year’s Lows

Is crude oil poised for a rebound or on the verge of breaching last year’s lows? Dive into today’s analysis to uncover the surprising dynamics at play and what they mean for your trading strategy!

Is crude oil forming a local bottom, or is it going to break below last year’s lows?

Crude oil fell to a new low yesterday, breaking below the $67 level. It continued reacting to the stock market’s sell-off and weak economic data. This morning, oil is trading near its lows. President Trump’s speech in Congress didn’t cause much volatility in the markets. However, a lower-than-expected ADP Non-Farm Employment Change report this morning added to concerns about the economy.

Crude Oil at Last Year’s Lows - Image 1



Conclusion

Crude oil extended its downtrend yesterday, reaching the $67 level. Today, it’s trading near its local lows.

Is this a good time to open a short position? I don't think so - the market is approaching strong medium-term support levels and could move sideways or rebound.

For now, my short-term outlook is neutral.

Here’s the breakdown:

  • Crude oil dipped after last week’s rebound, with sentiment still negative amid stock market weakness and disappointing economic data.
  • In my opinion, the short-term outlook is neutral.

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Thank you.

Paul Rejczak,
Stock Trading Strategist